NOSCCA North Sea Region Climate Change Assessment

Contents

Chapter 1: Introduction to the Assessment - Characteristics of the Region
Markus Quante, Franciscus Colijn, Jan P. Bakker, Werner Härdtle, Hartmut Heinrich, Christiana Lefebvre, Ingeborg Nöhren, Jørgen Eivind Olesen, Thomas Pohlmann, Horst Sterr, Jürgen Sündermann and Merja Helena Tölle

Part I - Recent Climate Change (Past 200 Years)


Chapter 2: Recent Change - Atmosphere
Martin Stendel, Else van den Besselaar, Abdel Hannachi, Elizabeth C. Kent, Christiana Lefebvre, Frederik Schenk, Gerard van der Schrier and Tim Woollings

Chapter 3: Recent Change - North Sea
John Huthnance, Ralf Weisse, Thomas Wahl, Helmuth Thomas, Julie Pietrzak, Alejandro Jose Souza, Sytze van Heteren, Natalija Schmelzer, Justus van Beusekom, Franciscus Colijn, Ivan Haigh, Solfrid Hjøllo, Jürgen Holfort, Elizabeth C. Kent, Wilfried Kühn, Peter Loewe, Ina Lorkowski, Kjell Arne Mork, Johannes Pätsch, Markus Quante, Lesley Salt, John Siddorn, Tim Smyth, Andreas Sterl and Philip Woodworth

Chapter 4: Recent Change - River Flow
Jaap Kwadijk, Nigel W. Arnell, Christoph Mudersbach, Mark de Weerd, Aart Kroon and Markus Quante

Part II - Future Climate Change


Chapter 5: Change - Atmosphere
Wilhelm May, Anette Ganske, Gregor C. Leckebusch, Burkhardt Rockel, Birger Tinz and Uwe Ulbrich

Chapter 6: Projected Change - North Sea
Corinna Schrum, Jason Lowe, H.E. Markus Meier, Iris Grabemann, Jason Holt, Moritz Mathis, Thomas Pohlmann, Morten D. Skogen, Andreas Sterl and Sarah Wakelin

Chapter 7: Projected Change - River Flow and Urban Drainage
Patrick Willems and Benjamin Lloyd-Hughes

Part III - Impacts of Recent and Future Climate Change on Ecosystems


Chapter 8: Environmental Impacts - Marine Ecosystems
Keith M. Brander, Geir Ottersen, Jan P. Bakker, Gregory Beaugrand, Helena Herr, Stefan Garthe, Anita Gilles, Andrew Kenny, Ursula Siebert, Hein Rune Skjoldal and Ingrid Tulp

Chapter 9: Environmental Impacts - Coastal Ecosystems
Jan P. Bakker, Andreas C.W. Baas, Jesper Bartholdy, Laurence Jones, Gerben Ruessink, Stijn Temmerman and Martijn van de Pol

Chapter 10: Environmental Impacts - Lake Ecosystems
Rita Adrian, Dag Olav Hessen, Thorsten Blenckner, Helmut Hillebrand, Sabine Hilt, Erik Jeppesen, David M. Livingstone and Dennis Trolle

Chapter 11: Environmental Impacts - Terrestrial Ecosystems
Norbert Hölzel, Thomas Hickler, Lars Kutzbach, Hans Joosten, Jakobus van Huissteden and Roland Hiederer

Part IV - Climate Change Impacts on Socio-economic Sectors


Chapter 12: Socio-economic Impacts - Fisheries
John K. Pinnegar, Georg H. Engelhard, Miranda C. Jones, William W.L. Cheung, Myron A. Peck, Adriaan D. Rijnsdorp and Keith M. Brander

Chapter 13: Socio-economic Impacts - Agricultural Systems
Jørgen Eivind Olesen

Chapter 14: Socio-economic Impacts - Offshore Activities/Energy
Kirsten Halsnæs, Martin Drews and Niels-Erik Clausen

Chapter 15: Socio-economic Impacts - Urban Climate
K. Heinke Schlünzen and Sylvia I. Bohnenstengel

Chapter 16: Socio-economic Impacts - Air Quality
Stig Bjørløw Dalsøren and Jan Eiof Jonson

Chapter 17: Socio-economic Impacts - Recreation
Edgar Kreilkamp, Nele Marisa von Bergner and Claudia Mauser

Chapter 18: Socio-economic Impacts - Coastal Protection
Hanz D. Niemeyer, Gé Beaufort, Roberto Mayerle, Jaak Monbaliu, Ian Townend, Holger Toxvig Madsen, Huib de Vriend and Andreas Wurpts

Chapter 19: Socio-economic Impacts - Coastal Management and Governance
Job Dronkers and Tim Stojanovic

Annexes


Annex 1: What is NAO?
Abdel Hannachi and Martin Stendel

Annex 2: Climate Model Simulations for the North Sea Region
Diana Rechid, H.E. Markus Meier, Corinna Schrum, Markku Rummukainen, Christopher Moseley, Katharina Bülow, Alberto Elizalde, Jian Su and Thomas Pohlmann

Annex 3: Uncertainties in Climate Change Projections
Markku Rummukainen

Annex 4: Emission Scenarios for Climate Projections
Markus Quante and Christian Bjørnæs

Annex 5: Facts and Maps
Ingeborg Nöhren